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Politik·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politik·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 18.3%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 13.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 18.3%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 13.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 Vol.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Vol.

17%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Vol.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Vol.

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Vol.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Vol.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,127 Vol.

18%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,133 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Vol.

3%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Vol.

14%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni maintains the strongest position in trader assessments for Italy's next prime minister due to her role as incumbent leading a centre-right coalition that continues to top recent polling averages ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 constitutional referendum defeat on judicial reform eroded some of her government's momentum and prompted opposition gains, elevating Silvia Salis as a potential unifying left-wing candidate through her local record and national visibility. Fragmented centre-left dynamics involving Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte limit immediate challenges, while Meloni pursues electoral adjustments that could reinforce her coalition's majority prospects under Italy's parliamentary system.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,540
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni maintains the strongest position in trader assessments for Italy's next prime minister due to her role as incumbent leading a centre-right coalition that continues to top recent polling averages ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 constitutional referendum defeat on judicial reform eroded some of her government's momentum and prompted opposition gains, elevating Silvia Salis as a potential unifying left-wing candidate through her local record and national visibility. Fragmented centre-left dynamics involving Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte limit immediate challenges, while Meloni pursues electoral adjustments that could reinforce her coalition's majority prospects under Italy's parliamentary system.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,540
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Giorgia Meloni" mit 43%, gefolgt von „Silvia Salis" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 43¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $14.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ist „Giorgia Meloni" mit 43%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 43% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Silvia Salis" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.