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Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$6,529 Vol.

53%

Elly Schlein

$2,163 Vol.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$2,972 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$1,514 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$1,848 Vol.

1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$1,385 Vol.

3%

Silvia Salis

$4,729 Vol.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$15,011 Vol.

10%

Matteo Renzi

$1,335 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,531 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$41,669
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$41,669
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2028
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Giorgia Meloni" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Elly Schlein" mit 14%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $41.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ist „Giorgia Meloni" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Elly Schlein" mit 14%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of Italy?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.