Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this market, anchored by the absence of five specified March triggers—no Iranian regime collapse amid persistent regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and no SAVE Act signing into law despite House passage and Senate procedural hurdles. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% as grassroots momentum builds ahead of early voting starting May 18, tilting probabilities toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNichts
$340,193 Vol.
$340,193 Vol.
31. März 2026
Nichts
$340,193 Vol.
$340,193 Vol.
31. März 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this market, anchored by the absence of five specified March triggers—no Iranian regime collapse amid persistent regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and no SAVE Act signing into law despite House passage and Senate procedural hurdles. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% as grassroots momentum builds ahead of early voting starting May 18, tilting probabilities toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing."
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volumen
$340,193Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this market, anchored by the absence of five specified March triggers—no Iranian regime collapse amid persistent regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and no SAVE Act signing into law despite House passage and Senate procedural hurdles. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% as grassroots momentum builds ahead of early voting starting May 18, tilting probabilities toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing."
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$340,193Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for this market, anchored by the absence of five specified March triggers—no Iranian regime collapse amid persistent regional tensions, no Federal Reserve rate cut as the FOMC held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no Insurrection Act invocation, and no SAVE Act signing into law despite House passage and Senate procedural hurdles. The sole outstanding condition hinges on the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger AG Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated; a May 5 University of Houston Hobby School poll shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% as grassroots momentum builds ahead of early voting starting May 18, tilting probabilities toward Paxton prevailing and preserving "Nothing."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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