North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, both from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. Trader consensus favoring three or more tests by month-end reflects Pyongyang’s established pattern of increasing launch activity in response to annual U.S.-South Korea joint exercises, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills running from August 17–27, which North Korea routinely denounces as provocative. With roughly two weeks remaining and no additional tests reported since August 12, implied probabilities incorporate the potential for further signaling amid ongoing regional tensions and weapons development priorities. Historical precedent during similar military drills supports expectations of additional activity before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnzahl der Nordkorea-Raketentests im August 2026?
Anzahl der Nordkorea-Raketentests im August 2026?
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
2
35%
3+
65%
$65,630 Vol.
$65,630 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
2
$12,456 Vol.
35%
3+
$18,261 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, both from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. Trader consensus favoring three or more tests by month-end reflects Pyongyang’s established pattern of increasing launch activity in response to annual U.S.-South Korea joint exercises, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills running from August 17–27, which North Korea routinely denounces as provocative. With roughly two weeks remaining and no additional tests reported since August 12, implied probabilities incorporate the potential for further signaling amid ongoing regional tensions and weapons development priorities. Historical precedent during similar military drills supports expectations of additional activity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volumen
$65,630Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, both from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. Trader consensus favoring three or more tests by month-end reflects Pyongyang’s established pattern of increasing launch activity in response to annual U.S.-South Korea joint exercises, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills running from August 17–27, which North Korea routinely denounces as provocative. With roughly two weeks remaining and no additional tests reported since August 12, implied probabilities incorporate the potential for further signaling amid ongoing regional tensions and weapons development priorities. Historical precedent during similar military drills supports expectations of additional activity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$65,630Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches in August 2026, both from the Wonsan area on August 6 and August 12, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. Trader consensus favoring three or more tests by month-end reflects Pyongyang’s established pattern of increasing launch activity in response to annual U.S.-South Korea joint exercises, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield drills running from August 17–27, which North Korea routinely denounces as provocative. With roughly two weeks remaining and no additional tests reported since August 12, implied probabilities incorporate the potential for further signaling amid ongoing regional tensions and weapons development priorities. Historical precedent during similar military drills supports expectations of additional activity before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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