North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnzahl der nordkoreanischen Raketentests im September 2026?
3 42.0%
2 30%
4+ 21.0%
1 2.9%
$52,181 Vol.
$52,181 Vol.
1
3%
2
30%
3
42%
4+
21%
3 42.0%
2 30%
4+ 21.0%
1 2.9%
$52,181 Vol.
$52,181 Vol.
1
3%
2
30%
3
42%
4+
21%
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted at least two distinct missile test events in September so far, including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on September 12 and two more from the Wonsan area on September 20. These firings, part of an accelerating 2026 tempo that already exceeds the prior year, came in response to US-led trilateral drills and ahead of the UN General Assembly opening and a Trump-Xi summit. Pyongyang has highlighted a new weapon system in state media, framing the activity as demonstrations of advancing capabilities. Traders assign the highest probabilities to two or three total tests for the month, reflecting the recent pace and potential for additional signaling before diplomatic events conclude.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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