Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Likely Democratic. Horsford won reelection in 2024 by roughly three points and faces limited opposition after both parties held primaries on June 9. The district has not drawn significant national spending or high-profile challengers, leaving the race outside top-tier battleground status. These factors underpin the market’s clear preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNV-04 Wahlsieger
NV-04 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
87%
Republikanische Partei
16%
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$827 Vol.
87%
Republikanische Partei
$605 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Likely Democratic. Horsford won reelection in 2024 by roughly three points and faces limited opposition after both parties held primaries on June 9. The district has not drawn significant national spending or high-profile challengers, leaving the race outside top-tier battleground status. These factors underpin the market’s clear preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1,432Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Likely Democratic. Horsford won reelection in 2024 by roughly three points and faces limited opposition after both parties held primaries on June 9. The district has not drawn significant national spending or high-profile challengers, leaving the race outside top-tier battleground status. These factors underpin the market’s clear preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,432Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, and forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it Likely Democratic. Horsford won reelection in 2024 by roughly three points and faces limited opposition after both parties held primaries on June 9. The district has not drawn significant national spending or high-profile challengers, leaving the race outside top-tier battleground status. These factors underpin the market’s clear preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if turnout patterns or late-cycle dynamics change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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