The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$931 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
Vor 2 Uhr am 12. August
Nein
Vor 3 Uhr am 12. August
Nein
Vor 4 Uhr morgens am 12. August
Ja
Vor 5 Uhr am 12. August
Ja
Vor 10 Uhr am 12. August
Ja
$931 Vol.
Vor 2 Uhr am 12. August
$242 Vol.
Nein
Vor 3 Uhr am 12. August
$187 Vol.
Nein
Vor 4 Uhr morgens am 12. August
$178 Vol.
Ja
Vor 5 Uhr am 12. August
$161 Vol.
Ja
Vor 10 Uhr am 12. August
$161 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$931Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://apnews.com/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Volumen
$931Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://apnews.com/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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