Recent preparations for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections center on multi-day voting and administrative mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and regional structures, consistent with patterns that lifted 2024 presidential turnout to 77%. A VTsIOM survey indicated 66% of respondents planned to participate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-56% amid uncertainty over actual engagement levels. Economic slowdown since late 2024 and the ongoing Ukraine conflict may dampen voluntary participation, while Kremlin-aligned efforts to boost United Russia support through veteran candidates and institutional pressure provide counter-momentum. The outcome remains sensitive to the scale of coerced or facilitated voting in the final weeks, with separation likely hinging on mobilization intensity versus any signs of public disengagement before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 31%
53-56% 29.2%
59-62% 12.8%
62%+ 11.4%
$49,795 Vol.
$49,795 Vol.
<47%
3%
47-50%
9%
50-53%
31%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
13%
62%+
11%
50-53% 31%
53-56% 29.2%
59-62% 12.8%
62%+ 11.4%
$49,795 Vol.
$49,795 Vol.
<47%
3%
47-50%
9%
50-53%
31%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
11%
59-62%
13%
62%+
11%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preparations for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections center on multi-day voting and administrative mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and regional structures, consistent with patterns that lifted 2024 presidential turnout to 77%. A VTsIOM survey indicated 66% of respondents planned to participate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-56% amid uncertainty over actual engagement levels. Economic slowdown since late 2024 and the ongoing Ukraine conflict may dampen voluntary participation, while Kremlin-aligned efforts to boost United Russia support through veteran candidates and institutional pressure provide counter-momentum. The outcome remains sensitive to the scale of coerced or facilitated voting in the final weeks, with separation likely hinging on mobilization intensity versus any signs of public disengagement before polls close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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