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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

50-53% 31%

53-56% 29.2%

59-62% 12.8%

62%+ 11.4%

Polymarket

$49,795 Vol.

50-53% 31%

53-56% 29.2%

59-62% 12.8%

62%+ 11.4%

Polymarket

$49,795 Vol.

<47%

$1,886 Vol.

3%

47-50%

$5,567 Vol.

9%

50-53%

$4,507 Vol.

31%

53-56%

$3,041 Vol.

29%

56-59%

$6,045 Vol.

11%

59-62%

$4,792 Vol.

13%

62%+

$23,957 Vol.

11%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent preparations for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections center on multi-day voting and administrative mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and regional structures, consistent with patterns that lifted 2024 presidential turnout to 77%. A VTsIOM survey indicated 66% of respondents planned to participate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-56% amid uncertainty over actual engagement levels. Economic slowdown since late 2024 and the ongoing Ukraine conflict may dampen voluntary participation, while Kremlin-aligned efforts to boost United Russia support through veteran candidates and institutional pressure provide counter-momentum. The outcome remains sensitive to the scale of coerced or facilitated voting in the final weeks, with separation likely hinging on mobilization intensity versus any signs of public disengagement before polls close.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$49,795
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Recent preparations for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma elections center on multi-day voting and administrative mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and regional structures, consistent with patterns that lifted 2024 presidential turnout to 77%. A VTsIOM survey indicated 66% of respondents planned to participate, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-56% amid uncertainty over actual engagement levels. Economic slowdown since late 2024 and the ongoing Ukraine conflict may dampen voluntary participation, while Kremlin-aligned efforts to boost United Russia support through veteran candidates and institutional pressure provide counter-momentum. The outcome remains sensitive to the scale of coerced or facilitated voting in the final weeks, with separation likely hinging on mobilization intensity versus any signs of public disengagement before polls close.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$49,795
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „50-53%" mit 31%, gefolgt von „53-56%" mit 29%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 31¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $49.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" ist „50-53%" mit 31%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „53-56%" mit 29%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.