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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

53-56% 37.4%

50-53% 34%

62%+ 29%

<47% 26%

Polymarket
NEU

53-56% 37.4%

50-53% 34%

62%+ 29%

<47% 26%

Polymarket
NEU

<47%

$175 Vol.

24%

47-50%

$67 Vol.

26%

50-53%

$67 Vol.

34%

53-56%

$73 Vol.

37%

56-59%

$59 Vol.

24%

59-62%

$60 Vol.

27%

62%+

$62 Vol.

37%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$564
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volumen
$564
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „53-56%" mit 37%, gefolgt von „62%+" mit 37%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 37¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 37% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout" ist „53-56%" mit 37%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 37% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „62%+" mit 37%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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