Recent May 2026 PPI data printed at 6.5% year-over-year—the highest since November 2022—after a 1.1% monthly gain driven largely by a surge in energy costs amid Middle East tensions, exceeding consensus forecasts. With June 2026 figures set for release July 15, trader-implied odds remain evenly split across bins from ≤5.8% to 6.7%+, reflecting uncertainty over whether the energy-driven momentum will persist or moderate in final-demand goods and services. Key swing factors include monthly core PPI trends, seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior readings, as markets price in the probability distribution rather than a single point estimate ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert≤5.8% 47%
6.2% 42%
6.0% 38%
6.4% 37%
≤5.8%
47%
5.9%
36%
6.0%
38%
6.1%
33%
6.2%
42%
6.3%
21%
6.4%
37%
6.5%
34%
6.6%
34%
6.7%+
35%
≤5.8% 47%
6.2% 42%
6.0% 38%
6.4% 37%
≤5.8%
47%
5.9%
36%
6.0%
38%
6.1%
33%
6.2%
42%
6.3%
21%
6.4%
37%
6.5%
34%
6.6%
34%
6.7%+
35%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 PPI data printed at 6.5% year-over-year—the highest since November 2022—after a 1.1% monthly gain driven largely by a surge in energy costs amid Middle East tensions, exceeding consensus forecasts. With June 2026 figures set for release July 15, trader-implied odds remain evenly split across bins from ≤5.8% to 6.7%+, reflecting uncertainty over whether the energy-driven momentum will persist or moderate in final-demand goods and services. Key swing factors include monthly core PPI trends, seasonal adjustments, and any revisions to prior readings, as markets price in the probability distribution rather than a single point estimate ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics report.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen