Recent May 2026 core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking the highest annual reading since late 2023, amid upward revisions to FOMC inflation projections at the June meeting. With the June release due July 30 and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing mixed monthly signals near 0.1–0.3%, traders price substantial uncertainty across the 0.0–0.6%+ buckets. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI, employment, and retail sales prints that inform the BEA calculation, plus any late Fed commentary on persistent services inflation. This even distribution reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of risks around sticky price pressures versus potential moderation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0.3% 36.9%
0.2% 28%
0.4% 10%
0.1% 9.8%
NEU
NEU
30. Juli 2026
≤0.0%
7%
0.1%
10%
0.2%
28%
0.3%
37%
0.4%
10%
0.5%
4%
0.6%+
6%
0.3% 36.9%
0.2% 28%
0.4% 10%
0.1% 9.8%
NEU
NEU
30. Juli 2026
≤0.0%
$300 Vol.
7%
0.1%
$358 Vol.
10%
0.2%
$631 Vol.
28%
0.3%
$2,658 Vol.
37%
0.4%
$384 Vol.
10%
0.5%
$167 Vol.
4%
0.6%+
$164 Vol.
6%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking the highest annual reading since late 2023, amid upward revisions to FOMC inflation projections at the June meeting. With the June release due July 30 and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing mixed monthly signals near 0.1–0.3%, traders price substantial uncertainty across the 0.0–0.6%+ buckets. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI, employment, and retail sales prints that inform the BEA calculation, plus any late Fed commentary on persistent services inflation. This even distribution reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of risks around sticky price pressures versus potential moderation.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volumen
$4,663Enddatum
30. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking the highest annual reading since late 2023, amid upward revisions to FOMC inflation projections at the June meeting. With the June release due July 30 and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing mixed monthly signals near 0.1–0.3%, traders price substantial uncertainty across the 0.0–0.6%+ buckets. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI, employment, and retail sales prints that inform the BEA calculation, plus any late Fed commentary on persistent services inflation. This even distribution reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of risks around sticky price pressures versus potential moderation.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$4,663Enddatum
30. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 5, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, matching consensus and marking the highest annual reading since late 2023, amid upward revisions to FOMC inflation projections at the June meeting. With the June release due July 30 and Cleveland Fed nowcasts showing mixed monthly signals near 0.1–0.3%, traders price substantial uncertainty across the 0.0–0.6%+ buckets. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI, employment, and retail sales prints that inform the BEA calculation, plus any late Fed commentary on persistent services inflation. This even distribution reflects skin-in-the-game aggregation of risks around sticky price pressures versus potential moderation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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