Prabowo Subianto, inaugurated in October 2024 for a five-year term ending in 2029, maintains firm control over Indonesia’s executive branch amid recent cabinet and security leadership changes. On October 1, 2026, he executed a major reshuffle involving 18 officials, installing loyalists in key coordinating minister, foreign minister, industry, and national police chief roles while addressing scandals and policy priorities such as energy transition and downstreaming. Public satisfaction with his leadership stands near 79 percent in late-September surveys, with strong marks for decisiveness and diplomacy offsetting lower economic approval tied to prices and jobs. No credible impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or constitutional challenges have emerged; a reported claim of vice-presidential removal was confirmed as a hoax. Political engagement continues, including planned follow-up talks with opposition figures, while fiscal adjustments and state enterprise reforms proceed without disrupting stability. These factors shape trader assessments of removal risks before scheduled term endpoints.
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