South Africa’s 2026 inflation trajectory reflects a narrow contest between subdued price pressures and emerging upside risks from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1 percent year-over-year from 3.0 percent in February, following softer January and December prints near 3.5–3.6 percent, while the South African Reserve Bank revised its full-year forecast upward to 3.7 percent. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 2.9–3.2 percent and sub-2.6 percent brackets, underscoring trader views that subdued food prices, a firmer rand, and muted demand may keep annual inflation near the midpoint of the 3–6 percent target band. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming Monetary Policy Committee communications that could clarify second-round effects on the rate path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2,9-3,2 % 36.9%
<2,6 % 25.3%
4,4-4,7 % 7.2%
3,5-3,8 % 7.1%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
20. Jan. 2027
<2,6 %
25%
2,6-2,9 %
15%
2,9-3,2 %
37%
3,2-3,5 %
27%
3,5-3,8 %
16%
3,8-4,1 %
16%
4,1-4,4 %
27%
4,4-4,7 %
7%
4,7-5,0 %
22%
>5,0 %
28%
2,9-3,2 % 36.9%
<2,6 % 25.3%
4,4-4,7 % 7.2%
3,5-3,8 % 7.1%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
20. Jan. 2027
<2,6 %
$267 Vol.
25%
2,6-2,9 %
$282 Vol.
15%
2,9-3,2 %
$369 Vol.
37%
3,2-3,5 %
$369 Vol.
27%
3,5-3,8 %
$471 Vol.
16%
3,8-4,1 %
$661 Vol.
16%
4,1-4,4 %
$539 Vol.
27%
4,4-4,7 %
$12,095 Vol.
7%
4,7-5,0 %
$373 Vol.
22%
>5,0 %
$5,948 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation trajectory reflects a narrow contest between subdued price pressures and emerging upside risks from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1 percent year-over-year from 3.0 percent in February, following softer January and December prints near 3.5–3.6 percent, while the South African Reserve Bank revised its full-year forecast upward to 3.7 percent. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 2.9–3.2 percent and sub-2.6 percent brackets, underscoring trader views that subdued food prices, a firmer rand, and muted demand may keep annual inflation near the midpoint of the 3–6 percent target band. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming Monetary Policy Committee communications that could clarify second-round effects on the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Markt eröffnet: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$21,375Enddatum
20. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation trajectory reflects a narrow contest between subdued price pressures and emerging upside risks from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1 percent year-over-year from 3.0 percent in February, following softer January and December prints near 3.5–3.6 percent, while the South African Reserve Bank revised its full-year forecast upward to 3.7 percent. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 2.9–3.2 percent and sub-2.6 percent brackets, underscoring trader views that subdued food prices, a firmer rand, and muted demand may keep annual inflation near the midpoint of the 3–6 percent target band. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming Monetary Policy Committee communications that could clarify second-round effects on the rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volumen
$21,375Enddatum
20. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 inflation trajectory reflects a narrow contest between subdued price pressures and emerging upside risks from elevated global oil prices tied to Middle East supply disruptions. March 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.1 percent year-over-year from 3.0 percent in February, following softer January and December prints near 3.5–3.6 percent, while the South African Reserve Bank revised its full-year forecast upward to 3.7 percent. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 2.9–3.2 percent and sub-2.6 percent brackets, underscoring trader views that subdued food prices, a firmer rand, and muted demand may keep annual inflation near the midpoint of the 3–6 percent target band. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming Monetary Policy Committee communications that could clarify second-round effects on the rate path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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