The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June 2026 printed at 48.9 on June 12, rebounding 4.1 points from May’s record low of 44.8 on early-month gasoline price relief following the Iran-related energy spike. This placed the reading above consensus expectations near 46 while inflation expectations eased modestly to 4.6% year-ahead. With the final June release due June 26, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 buckets amid stable May labor data (172,000 payroll gains, 4.3% unemployment) and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Persistent household pressure from elevated shelter and energy costs continues to anchor sentiment well below historical averages, limiting the scope for sharp upside revisions absent further commodity relief.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.6%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,335 Vol.
$114,335 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
37%
52.0–54.9
1%
≥55.0
<1%
46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.6%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,335 Vol.
$114,335 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
37%
52.0–54.9
1%
≥55.0
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: May 29, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June 2026 printed at 48.9 on June 12, rebounding 4.1 points from May’s record low of 44.8 on early-month gasoline price relief following the Iran-related energy spike. This placed the reading above consensus expectations near 46 while inflation expectations eased modestly to 4.6% year-ahead. With the final June release due June 26, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 buckets amid stable May labor data (172,000 payroll gains, 4.3% unemployment) and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Persistent household pressure from elevated shelter and energy costs continues to anchor sentiment well below historical averages, limiting the scope for sharp upside revisions absent further commodity relief.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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