Recent official statements from US Southern Command leadership have clarified that no invasion rehearsals or direct preparations for seizing control of Cuba are underway, limiting contingencies to embassy security, Guantanamo defense, or migration scenarios. President Trump and Secretary Rubio have emphasized economic pressure, sanctions, and hopes for a negotiated path forward rather than military confrontation, with Trump stating a deal remains possible. While September reports highlighted internal planning for support units amid UN criticisms and Cuban ties to adversaries, these appear tied to broader contingency assessments without deployment orders. Ongoing diplomatic contacts, though stalled, and Cuba's internal economic strains further reduce near-term clash risks through the end of 2026.