Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<554.000 $ 93%
554.000 $ - 558.000 $ 4.0%
>572.000 $ 2.2%
$562k - $566k 2.0%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2026
<554.000 $
93%
554.000 $ - 558.000 $
4%
558.000 $ - 562.000 $
2%
$562k - $566k
2%
566.000 $ - 570.000 $
2%
570.000 $ - 572.000 $
1%
>572.000 $
2%
<554.000 $ 93%
554.000 $ - 558.000 $ 4.0%
>572.000 $ 2.2%
$562k - $566k 2.0%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2026
<554.000 $
$1,895 Vol.
93%
554.000 $ - 558.000 $
$163 Vol.
4%
558.000 $ - 562.000 $
$161 Vol.
2%
$562k - $566k
$221 Vol.
2%
566.000 $ - 570.000 $
$188 Vol.
2%
570.000 $ - 572.000 $
$124 Vol.
1%
>572.000 $
$179 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Markt eröffnet: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volumen
$2,930Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volumen
$2,930Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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