President Trump's state visit to China, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, ran from May 13 to 15 as officially scheduled, featuring bilateral summits on trade, Iran tensions, and Taiwan in Beijing. Live updates confirm his motorcade reached Beijing Capital International Airport this afternoon for departure aboard Air Force One following a final private meeting at Zhongnanhai, aligning precisely with the published itinerary and propelling trader consensus to 100% on May 15. This commanding lead reflects the absence of delays from weather, logistics, or extended negotiations, with historical precedent for such tightly scripted diplomacy. Only a late-breaking emergency—like health concerns, security incidents, or abrupt diplomatic breakthroughs—could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhen will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$251,743 Vol.
$251,743 Vol.
20. Mai 2026
May 15
100%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
Nach dem 18. Mai
<1%
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$251,743 Vol.
$251,743 Vol.
20. Mai 2026
May 15
$110,236 Vol.
100%
May 16
$51,534 Vol.
<1%
May 17
$12,104 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
Nach dem 18. Mai
$5,847 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, ran from May 13 to 15 as officially scheduled, featuring bilateral summits on trade, Iran tensions, and Taiwan in Beijing. Live updates confirm his motorcade reached Beijing Capital International Airport this afternoon for departure aboard Air Force One following a final private meeting at Zhongnanhai, aligning precisely with the published itinerary and propelling trader consensus to 100% on May 15. This commanding lead reflects the absence of delays from weather, logistics, or extended negotiations, with historical precedent for such tightly scripted diplomacy. Only a late-breaking emergency—like health concerns, security incidents, or abrupt diplomatic breakthroughs—could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$251,743Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, ran from May 13 to 15 as officially scheduled, featuring bilateral summits on trade, Iran tensions, and Taiwan in Beijing. Live updates confirm his motorcade reached Beijing Capital International Airport this afternoon for departure aboard Air Force One following a final private meeting at Zhongnanhai, aligning precisely with the published itinerary and propelling trader consensus to 100% on May 15. This commanding lead reflects the absence of delays from weather, logistics, or extended negotiations, with historical precedent for such tightly scripted diplomacy. Only a late-breaking emergency—like health concerns, security incidents, or abrupt diplomatic breakthroughs—could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$251,743Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's state visit to China, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, ran from May 13 to 15 as officially scheduled, featuring bilateral summits on trade, Iran tensions, and Taiwan in Beijing. Live updates confirm his motorcade reached Beijing Capital International Airport this afternoon for departure aboard Air Force One following a final private meeting at Zhongnanhai, aligning precisely with the published itinerary and propelling trader consensus to 100% on May 15. This commanding lead reflects the absence of delays from weather, logistics, or extended negotiations, with historical precedent for such tightly scripted diplomacy. Only a late-breaking emergency—like health concerns, security incidents, or abrupt diplomatic breakthroughs—could realistically shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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