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Politik·Belohnt 100, 4.5, 100

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

icon for Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
Politik·Belohnt 100, 4.5, 100

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

No announcement by December 31 26.9%

Aaron Lukas 12%

Elise Stefanik 11%

Michael Ellis 8.8%

Polymarket

$79,514 Vol.

No announcement by December 31 26.9%

Aaron Lukas 12%

Elise Stefanik 11%

Michael Ellis 8.8%

Polymarket

$79,514 Vol.

No announcement by December 31

$18,974 Vol.

27%

Aaron Lukas

$16,810 Vol.

12%

Elise Stefanik

$14,189 Vol.

11%

Michael Ellis

$1,597 Vol.

9%

John Ratcliffe

$324 Vol.

15%

Devin Nunes

$8,795 Vol.

7%

Chris Stewart

$314 Vol.

6%

Tom Cotton

$8,602 Vol.

6%

Mike Flynn

$238 Vol.

5%

Richard Grenell

$7,972 Vol.

7%

John Eisenberg

$156 Vol.

5%

Amaryllis Fox Kennedy

$174 Vol.

4%

Sebastian Gorka

$148 Vol.

4%

Stephen Miller

$130 Vol.

3%

Derek Harvey

$254 Vol.

3%

Robert O’Brien

$164 Vol.

3%

Kash Patel

$238 Vol.

<1%

Mike Waltz

$158 Vol.

<1%

Stacey Dixon

$274 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$79,514
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$79,514
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „No announcement by December 31" mit 27%, gefolgt von „John Ratcliffe" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 27¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?" ist „No announcement by December 31" mit 27%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 27% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „John Ratcliffe" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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