Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$294,600 Vol.
Donald Brodie
52%
Eric Adams
46%
Matt Gaetz
45%
Roger Stone
39%
Ryan Salame
37%
Stefan Brodie
26%
Roger Ver
26%
Martin Shkreli
16%
Keonne Rodriguez
14%
Steve Bannon
15%
Sam Bankman-Fried
8%
Joe Exotic
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
8%
Nicolas Maduro
8%
Diddy
7%
Hunter Biden
7%
Edward Snowden
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Himself
5%
Antoine Massey
8%
Elon Musk
4%
Young Thug
4%
Do Kwon
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Daniel Penny
46%
Bob Menendez
28%
$294,600 Vol.
Donald Brodie
52%
Eric Adams
46%
Matt Gaetz
45%
Roger Stone
39%
Ryan Salame
37%
Stefan Brodie
26%
Roger Ver
26%
Martin Shkreli
16%
Keonne Rodriguez
14%
Steve Bannon
15%
Sam Bankman-Fried
8%
Joe Exotic
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
8%
Nicolas Maduro
8%
Diddy
7%
Hunter Biden
7%
Edward Snowden
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Himself
5%
Antoine Massey
8%
Elon Musk
4%
Young Thug
4%
Do Kwon
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Daniel Penny
46%
Bob Menendez
28%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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