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icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

$419,583 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$419,583 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,521 Vol.

42%

Daniel Penny

$447 Vol.

21%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Vol.

21%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Vol.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Vol.

17%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Vol.

16%

Roger Stone

$3,487 Vol.

14%

Donald Brodie

$1,195 Vol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Vol.

10%

Bob Menendez

$195 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Vol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,664 Vol.

7%

Nicolás Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Julian Assange

$3,037 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$25,473 Vol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,366 Vol.

6%

Sich selbst

$12,557 Vol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,451 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,103 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,533 Vol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,547 Vol.

4%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,162 Vol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,580 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term has featured extensive use of the pardon power under Article II authority, including a blanket grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day 2025 and more than 200 additional individual pardons or commutations by mid-2026 for figures such as George Santos, white-collar defendants, and select allies. The Department of Justice has documented over 1,700 total clemency actions through June 2026, with recent batches tied to Clean Air Act cases and a July 2026 announcement. Reports indicate ongoing internal discussions about further grants linked to the U.S. semiquincentennial and potential end-of-year actions before the 2027 cutoff, creating a fluid environment where trader consensus reflects patterns of prioritizing politically connected or high-profile cases amid standard procedural reviews. Scheduled legislative or holiday periods through December 2026 could prompt additional announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$419,583
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term has featured extensive use of the pardon power under Article II authority, including a blanket grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day 2025 and more than 200 additional individual pardons or commutations by mid-2026 for figures such as George Santos, white-collar defendants, and select allies. The Department of Justice has documented over 1,700 total clemency actions through June 2026, with recent batches tied to Clean Air Act cases and a July 2026 announcement. Reports indicate ongoing internal discussions about further grants linked to the U.S. semiquincentennial and potential end-of-year actions before the 2027 cutoff, creating a fluid environment where trader consensus reflects patterns of prioritizing politically connected or high-profile cases amid standard procedural reviews. Scheduled legislative or holiday periods through December 2026 could prompt additional announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$419,583
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 28 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ryan Salame" mit 42%, gefolgt von „Daniel Penny" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist „Ryan Salame" mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Daniel Penny" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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