US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.07 per gallon amid tight refining capacity and lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions. Primary drivers include elevated crude input costs tied to geopolitical tensions, reduced global refining throughput of roughly 5 million barrels per day from conflicts, and strong summer demand that has kept crack spreads wide. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory data and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance, as a sustained move above or below key thresholds like $4.00 would hinge on whether refining margins ease or crude benchmarks stabilize near recent levels. With resolution approaching in mid-August, near-term economic releases on inflation and labor market conditions could further influence energy risk appetite and price volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
31. Aug. 2026
↑ 5,00 $
6%
↑ $4,75
13%
↑ $4,50
12%
↑ $4,25
21%
↓ $3,90
21%
↓ $3,70
11%
↓ 3,50 $
7%
↓ $3,25
3%
↓ 3,00 $
9%
↓ 2,50 $
2%
$8,821 Vol.
↑ 5,00 $
$2,363 Vol.
6%
↑ $4,75
$297 Vol.
13%
↑ $4,50
$2,105 Vol.
12%
↑ $4,25
$1,585 Vol.
21%
↓ $3,90
$482 Vol.
21%
↓ $3,70
$1,502 Vol.
11%
↓ 3,50 $
$155 Vol.
7%
↓ $3,25
$18 Vol.
3%
↓ 3,00 $
$79 Vol.
9%
↓ 2,50 $
$235 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.07 per gallon amid tight refining capacity and lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions. Primary drivers include elevated crude input costs tied to geopolitical tensions, reduced global refining throughput of roughly 5 million barrels per day from conflicts, and strong summer demand that has kept crack spreads wide. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory data and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance, as a sustained move above or below key thresholds like $4.00 would hinge on whether refining margins ease or crude benchmarks stabilize near recent levels. With resolution approaching in mid-August, near-term economic releases on inflation and labor market conditions could further influence energy risk appetite and price volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volumen
$8,821Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.07 per gallon amid tight refining capacity and lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions. Primary drivers include elevated crude input costs tied to geopolitical tensions, reduced global refining throughput of roughly 5 million barrels per day from conflicts, and strong summer demand that has kept crack spreads wide. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory data and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance, as a sustained move above or below key thresholds like $4.00 would hinge on whether refining margins ease or crude benchmarks stabilize near recent levels. With resolution approaching in mid-August, near-term economic releases on inflation and labor market conditions could further influence energy risk appetite and price volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$8,821Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.07 per gallon amid tight refining capacity and lingering effects from Middle East supply disruptions. Primary drivers include elevated crude input costs tied to geopolitical tensions, reduced global refining throughput of roughly 5 million barrels per day from conflicts, and strong summer demand that has kept crack spreads wide. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory data and any shifts in OPEC+ output guidance, as a sustained move above or below key thresholds like $4.00 would hinge on whether refining margins ease or crude benchmarks stabilize near recent levels. With resolution approaching in mid-August, near-term economic releases on inflation and labor market conditions could further influence energy risk appetite and price volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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