U.S. gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.52 per gallon amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil benchmarks higher and tightening global supply. Refinery maintenance schedules, which typically reduce output by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily in spring, have compounded the pressure alongside rising seasonal demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend. Traders are monitoring crude price trajectories, potential de-escalation signals, and any shifts in U.S. refinery utilization rates, as these factors directly influence whether pump prices breach key thresholds by month-end in a market already up more than 40% year-over-year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$139,951 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
88%
↓ $4.25
12%
↓ $4.20
11%
↓ $4.10
13%
↓ $4.00
9%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$139,951 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$21,513 Vol.
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Vol.
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,515 Vol.
88%
↓ $4.25
$2,466 Vol.
12%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 Vol.
11%
↓ $4.10
$796 Vol.
13%
↓ $4.00
$884 Vol.
9%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.52 per gallon amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil benchmarks higher and tightening global supply. Refinery maintenance schedules, which typically reduce output by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily in spring, have compounded the pressure alongside rising seasonal demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend. Traders are monitoring crude price trajectories, potential de-escalation signals, and any shifts in U.S. refinery utilization rates, as these factors directly influence whether pump prices breach key thresholds by month-end in a market already up more than 40% year-over-year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$139,951Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.52 per gallon amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil benchmarks higher and tightening global supply. Refinery maintenance schedules, which typically reduce output by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily in spring, have compounded the pressure alongside rising seasonal demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend. Traders are monitoring crude price trajectories, potential de-escalation signals, and any shifts in U.S. refinery utilization rates, as these factors directly influence whether pump prices breach key thresholds by month-end in a market already up more than 40% year-over-year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$139,951Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.52 per gallon amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil benchmarks higher and tightening global supply. Refinery maintenance schedules, which typically reduce output by hundreds of thousands of barrels daily in spring, have compounded the pressure alongside rising seasonal demand ahead of Memorial Day weekend. Traders are monitoring crude price trajectories, potential de-escalation signals, and any shifts in U.S. refinery utilization rates, as these factors directly influence whether pump prices breach key thresholds by month-end in a market already up more than 40% year-over-year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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