Trader consensus heavily favors no Russian return to the G7 before 2027 at 93.6%, reflecting unified G7 opposition amid the ongoing Ukraine war and entrenched sanctions. Recent G7 leaders' statements from February 2026 marked the invasion's fourth anniversary by reaffirming support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith peace talks between Kyiv and Moscow, while a March communiqué demanded an immediate halt to attacks on civilians—signals of sustained isolation rather than reconciliation. U.S. President Trump's repeated calls for readmission, including in his November 2025 peace plan, have met resistance: Italy's Meloni labeled it premature in January 2026, Germany's Merz ruled it out absent full consensus in November 2025, and the Kremlin expressed disinterest. Without troop withdrawal or a comprehensive settlement, barriers persist.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$14,775 Vol.
$14,775 Vol.
Ja
$14,775 Vol.
$14,775 Vol.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no Russian return to the G7 before 2027 at 93.6%, reflecting unified G7 opposition amid the ongoing Ukraine war and entrenched sanctions. Recent G7 leaders' statements from February 2026 marked the invasion's fourth anniversary by reaffirming support for Ukraine and calling for good-faith peace talks between Kyiv and Moscow, while a March communiqué demanded an immediate halt to attacks on civilians—signals of sustained isolation rather than reconciliation. U.S. President Trump's repeated calls for readmission, including in his November 2025 peace plan, have met resistance: Italy's Meloni labeled it premature in January 2026, Germany's Merz ruled it out absent full consensus in November 2025, and the Kremlin expressed disinterest. Without troop withdrawal or a comprehensive settlement, barriers persist.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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