**Traders assign a 67.5% probability that President Trump will not issue any veto in 2026, reflecting unified Republican control of Congress and a preference for executive actions over legislative confrontation.** With GOP majorities, most passed measures align with administration priorities or advance via reconciliation, limiting opportunities for vetoes. Recent examples include Trump withholding signature from the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act in June rather than vetoing it outright, allowing it to become law after the 10-day period, while pressuring for the SAVE America Act. Congress has advanced other items such as Russia sanctions legislation expected to reach his desk for signature. Heavy use of executive orders—over 280 in the term so far—further channels policy through unilateral means. Approaching November midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters, including Iran-related war powers resolutions, have not yet produced bills likely to trigger vetoes, supporting the current trader consensus on low veto activity for the remainder of the year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
33% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
33% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Traders assign a 67.5% probability that President Trump will not issue any veto in 2026, reflecting unified Republican control of Congress and a preference for executive actions over legislative confrontation.** With GOP majorities, most passed measures align with administration priorities or advance via reconciliation, limiting opportunities for vetoes. Recent examples include Trump withholding signature from the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act in June rather than vetoing it outright, allowing it to become law after the 10-day period, while pressuring for the SAVE America Act. Congress has advanced other items such as Russia sanctions legislation expected to reach his desk for signature. Heavy use of executive orders—over 280 in the term so far—further channels policy through unilateral means. Approaching November midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters, including Iran-related war powers resolutions, have not yet produced bills likely to trigger vetoes, supporting the current trader consensus on low veto activity for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volumen
$5,321Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Traders assign a 67.5% probability that President Trump will not issue any veto in 2026, reflecting unified Republican control of Congress and a preference for executive actions over legislative confrontation.** With GOP majorities, most passed measures align with administration priorities or advance via reconciliation, limiting opportunities for vetoes. Recent examples include Trump withholding signature from the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act in June rather than vetoing it outright, allowing it to become law after the 10-day period, while pressuring for the SAVE America Act. Congress has advanced other items such as Russia sanctions legislation expected to reach his desk for signature. Heavy use of executive orders—over 280 in the term so far—further channels policy through unilateral means. Approaching November midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters, including Iran-related war powers resolutions, have not yet produced bills likely to trigger vetoes, supporting the current trader consensus on low veto activity for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,321Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 67.5% probability that President Trump will not issue any veto in 2026, reflecting unified Republican control of Congress and a preference for executive actions over legislative confrontation.** With GOP majorities, most passed measures align with administration priorities or advance via reconciliation, limiting opportunities for vetoes. Recent examples include Trump withholding signature from the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act in June rather than vetoing it outright, allowing it to become law after the 10-day period, while pressuring for the SAVE America Act. Congress has advanced other items such as Russia sanctions legislation expected to reach his desk for signature. Heavy use of executive orders—over 280 in the term so far—further channels policy through unilateral means. Approaching November midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters, including Iran-related war powers resolutions, have not yet produced bills likely to trigger vetoes, supporting the current trader consensus on low veto activity for the remainder of the year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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