Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0,2-0,3% 68%
0,0-0,1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0,0% 3.3%
$17,226 Vol.
$17,226 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<0,0%
3%
0,0-0,1%
11%
0,2-0,3%
68%
0.4-0.5%
11%
0,6-0,7%
<1%
0,8%+
<1%
0,2-0,3% 68%
0,0-0,1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0,0% 3.3%
$17,226 Vol.
$17,226 Vol.
28 ago 2026
<0,0%
$1,027 Vol.
3%
0,0-0,1%
$4,556 Vol.
11%
0,2-0,3%
$8,596 Vol.
68%
0.4-0.5%
$1,511 Vol.
11%
0,6-0,7%
$831 Vol.
<1%
0,8%+
$708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volumen
$17,226Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volumen
$17,226Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP advanced 0.2% month-over-month per Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate, aligning with the 67.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bin. Gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade more than offset contractions in utilities and agriculture, supporting the 0.8% annualized Q2 expansion. This outcome follows May’s 0.3% rise and reflects resilience amid earlier Q1 weakness tied to trade uncertainty and elevated energy prices. The official GDP-by-industry release on August 28 could prompt revisions, though historical patterns suggest limited deviation from the advance figure. Broader sentiment also incorporates Bank of Canada forecasts for subdued 2026 growth near 1.1%, with traders pricing limited upside beyond the 0.4-0.5% range at 10.8%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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