Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. The pair face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and saw a March 2026 motion to dismiss rejected by the court. Hearings have continued into mid-2026 with no bail granted, reflecting standard pretrial detention practices for serious narcotics and conspiracy cases. Trader consensus assigns low odds of release by December 31, 2026, due to the pace of federal proceedings, limited diplomatic leverage for early resolution, and absence of confirmed plea negotiations or intervention. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a superseding indictment change, successful bail application, or executive action altering custody status within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?
¿La esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, liberada de la custodia por...?
$1,375,009 Vol.
30 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
16%
$1,375,009 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$328,408 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. The pair face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and saw a March 2026 motion to dismiss rejected by the court. Hearings have continued into mid-2026 with no bail granted, reflecting standard pretrial detention practices for serious narcotics and conspiracy cases. Trader consensus assigns low odds of release by December 31, 2026, due to the pace of federal proceedings, limited diplomatic leverage for early resolution, and absence of confirmed plea negotiations or intervention. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a superseding indictment change, successful bail application, or executive action altering custody status within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volumen
$1,375,009Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. The pair face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and saw a March 2026 motion to dismiss rejected by the court. Hearings have continued into mid-2026 with no bail granted, reflecting standard pretrial detention practices for serious narcotics and conspiracy cases. Trader consensus assigns low odds of release by December 31, 2026, due to the pace of federal proceedings, limited diplomatic leverage for early resolution, and absence of confirmed plea negotiations or intervention. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a superseding indictment change, successful bail application, or executive action altering custody status within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,375,009Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. The pair face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and saw a March 2026 motion to dismiss rejected by the court. Hearings have continued into mid-2026 with no bail granted, reflecting standard pretrial detention practices for serious narcotics and conspiracy cases. Trader consensus assigns low odds of release by December 31, 2026, due to the pace of federal proceedings, limited diplomatic leverage for early resolution, and absence of confirmed plea negotiations or intervention. Any shift would require verifiable developments such as a superseding indictment change, successful bail application, or executive action altering custody status within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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