Elon Musk’s consistent activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his tweet volume in the August 11-18, 2026 window, with the 160-179 bracket now commanding 57.5% implied probability as the period closes. This range aligns with Musk’s established pattern of 20-30 daily posts combining company updates, replies, and commentary. The 180-199 outcome at 26.5% captures the possibility of a modest surge from late-week business or cultural developments, while the 140-159 tier at 11.3% reflects a slower finish. Higher brackets remain marginal, underscoring how Musk’s posting rarely exceeds historical norms absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any final Tesla, SpaceX, or platform-related announcements that could shift daily volume before the count locks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 57%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.2%
$1,848,059 Vol.
$1,848,059 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
11%
160-179
57%
180-199
27%
200-219
3%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 57%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.2%
$1,848,059 Vol.
$1,848,059 Vol.
18 ago 2026
140-159
$272,223 Vol.
11%
160-179
$158,550 Vol.
57%
180-199
$122,014 Vol.
27%
200-219
$115,971 Vol.
3%
220-239
$97,196 Vol.
1%
240-259
$127,676 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$108,242 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$91,008 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his tweet volume in the August 11-18, 2026 window, with the 160-179 bracket now commanding 57.5% implied probability as the period closes. This range aligns with Musk’s established pattern of 20-30 daily posts combining company updates, replies, and commentary. The 180-199 outcome at 26.5% captures the possibility of a modest surge from late-week business or cultural developments, while the 140-159 tier at 11.3% reflects a slower finish. Higher brackets remain marginal, underscoring how Musk’s posting rarely exceeds historical norms absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any final Tesla, SpaceX, or platform-related announcements that could shift daily volume before the count locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$1,848,059Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his tweet volume in the August 11-18, 2026 window, with the 160-179 bracket now commanding 57.5% implied probability as the period closes. This range aligns with Musk’s established pattern of 20-30 daily posts combining company updates, replies, and commentary. The 180-199 outcome at 26.5% captures the possibility of a modest surge from late-week business or cultural developments, while the 140-159 tier at 11.3% reflects a slower finish. Higher brackets remain marginal, underscoring how Musk’s posting rarely exceeds historical norms absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any final Tesla, SpaceX, or platform-related announcements that could shift daily volume before the count locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,848,059Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment for his tweet volume in the August 11-18, 2026 window, with the 160-179 bracket now commanding 57.5% implied probability as the period closes. This range aligns with Musk’s established pattern of 20-30 daily posts combining company updates, replies, and commentary. The 180-199 outcome at 26.5% captures the possibility of a modest surge from late-week business or cultural developments, while the 140-159 tier at 11.3% reflects a slower finish. Higher brackets remain marginal, underscoring how Musk’s posting rarely exceeds historical norms absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any final Tesla, SpaceX, or platform-related announcements that could shift daily volume before the count locks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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