Traders see Elon Musk’s typical daily output of 15–25 posts on X as the core driver behind the tight clustering between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily tallies from early August show steady mid-teens to low-twenties activity, driven by routine company updates, replies, and commentary rather than any single breaking development. With four days remaining, the near-even split between those two leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether business milestones, such as SpaceX or Tesla news, or heightened personal engagement will push volume higher or keep it contained. No major external catalysts have yet emerged to break the deadlock, leaving resolution dependent on Musk’s consistent but variable posting cadence through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.2%
180-199 15%
$852,836 Vol.
$852,836 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 27%
160-179 25%
120-139 20.2%
180-199 15%
$852,836 Vol.
$852,836 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
27%
160-179
25%
180-199
15%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk’s typical daily output of 15–25 posts on X as the core driver behind the tight clustering between the 140–159 and 160–179 brackets for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily tallies from early August show steady mid-teens to low-twenties activity, driven by routine company updates, replies, and commentary rather than any single breaking development. With four days remaining, the near-even split between those two leading ranges reflects uncertainty over whether business milestones, such as SpaceX or Tesla news, or heightened personal engagement will push volume higher or keep it contained. No major external catalysts have yet emerged to break the deadlock, leaving resolution dependent on Musk’s consistent but variable posting cadence through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes