Recent Q1 Eurozone GDP contraction of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, coupled with the energy price shock from Middle East conflict, has weighed on Q2 momentum and shifted trader consensus toward modest positive growth. May inflation at 3.2%—driven by 10.8% energy costs—prompted the ECB’s June 11 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 2.25% deposit facility rate, reinforcing caution on second-round effects. Business surveys and employment expectations have weakened while the unemployment rate holds near 6.3%, supporting resilience but highlighting downside risks. With the Q2 flash estimate due July 30, the near-even odds between the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bands reflect uncertainty over whether the energy drag or fiscal support in key economies will dominate the quarter’s outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
2.0%+ 17.9%
0.0-0.3% 12%
<0.0% 11%
1.2-1.5% 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jul 2026
<0.0%
11%
0.0-0.3%
12%
0.4-0.7%
38%
0.8-1.1%
-
1.2-1.5%
1%
1.6-1.9%
1%
2.0%+
18%
2.0%+ 17.9%
0.0-0.3% 12%
<0.0% 11%
1.2-1.5% 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jul 2026
<0.0%
$177 Vol.
11%
0.0-0.3%
$373 Vol.
12%
0.4-0.7%
$173 Vol.
38%
0.8-1.1%
$183 Vol.
-
1.2-1.5%
$110 Vol.
1%
1.6-1.9%
$211 Vol.
1%
2.0%+
$144 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 Eurozone GDP contraction of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, coupled with the energy price shock from Middle East conflict, has weighed on Q2 momentum and shifted trader consensus toward modest positive growth. May inflation at 3.2%—driven by 10.8% energy costs—prompted the ECB’s June 11 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 2.25% deposit facility rate, reinforcing caution on second-round effects. Business surveys and employment expectations have weakened while the unemployment rate holds near 6.3%, supporting resilience but highlighting downside risks. With the Q2 flash estimate due July 30, the near-even odds between the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bands reflect uncertainty over whether the energy drag or fiscal support in key economies will dominate the quarter’s outcome.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
Volumen
$1,371Fecha de finalización
30 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 Eurozone GDP contraction of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, coupled with the energy price shock from Middle East conflict, has weighed on Q2 momentum and shifted trader consensus toward modest positive growth. May inflation at 3.2%—driven by 10.8% energy costs—prompted the ECB’s June 11 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 2.25% deposit facility rate, reinforcing caution on second-round effects. Business surveys and employment expectations have weakened while the unemployment rate holds near 6.3%, supporting resilience but highlighting downside risks. With the Q2 flash estimate due July 30, the near-even odds between the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bands reflect uncertainty over whether the energy drag or fiscal support in key economies will dominate the quarter’s outcome.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,371Fecha de finalización
30 jul 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q1 Eurozone GDP contraction of 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, coupled with the energy price shock from Middle East conflict, has weighed on Q2 momentum and shifted trader consensus toward modest positive growth. May inflation at 3.2%—driven by 10.8% energy costs—prompted the ECB’s June 11 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 2.25% deposit facility rate, reinforcing caution on second-round effects. Business surveys and employment expectations have weakened while the unemployment rate holds near 6.3%, supporting resilience but highlighting downside risks. With the Q2 flash estimate due July 30, the near-even odds between the 0.4–0.7% and 0.8–1.1% bands reflect uncertainty over whether the energy drag or fiscal support in key economies will dominate the quarter’s outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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