**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 15 de agosto?
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F o menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
15 ago 2026
91°F o menos
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Sí
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F o más
No
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F o menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
15 ago 2026
91°F o menos
$193 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$295 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$752 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,504 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,392 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$5,935 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$4,505 Vol.
Sí
104-105°F
$1,367 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,148 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$777 Vol.
No
110°F o más
$534 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$21,402Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,402Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes