National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 101°F amid continued hot, dry conditions with south winds and heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day pattern of upper-90s to low-100s readings and places the outcome just above the 98°F daily normal while remaining well below the 105°F August 15 record. Model consensus and limited moisture support modest day-to-day variability around this level rather than sharp deviations, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 100–101°F bin while allowing smaller chances for 102–103°F if mixing or insolation exceeds expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 15 de agosto?
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
91°F o menos
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F o más
<1%
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 16%
96-97°F 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
91°F o menos
$148 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$214 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$336 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,240 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$888 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$1,767 Vol.
56%
102-103°F
$469 Vol.
17%
104-105°F
$176 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$81 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
110°F o más
$519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 101°F amid continued hot, dry conditions with south winds and heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day pattern of upper-90s to low-100s readings and places the outcome just above the 98°F daily normal while remaining well below the 105°F August 15 record. Model consensus and limited moisture support modest day-to-day variability around this level rather than sharp deviations, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 100–101°F bin while allowing smaller chances for 102–103°F if mixing or insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$6,223Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 101°F amid continued hot, dry conditions with south winds and heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day pattern of upper-90s to low-100s readings and places the outcome just above the 98°F daily normal while remaining well below the 105°F August 15 record. Model consensus and limited moisture support modest day-to-day variability around this level rather than sharp deviations, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 100–101°F bin while allowing smaller chances for 102–103°F if mixing or insolation exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,223Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 101°F amid continued hot, dry conditions with south winds and heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. This aligns with the recent multi-day pattern of upper-90s to low-100s readings and places the outcome just above the 98°F daily normal while remaining well below the 105°F August 15 record. Model consensus and limited moisture support modest day-to-day variability around this level rather than sharp deviations, concentrating trader-implied probability on the 100–101°F bin while allowing smaller chances for 102–103°F if mixing or insolation exceeds expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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