**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s June 15 high temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because official guidance and numerical models currently converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions.** Forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional models show a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C under overcast skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Humidity levels near 85–90 % further modulate the realized high by enhancing the greenhouse effect at night while suppressing daytime peaks when rain occurs. The slight edge for 30 °C reflects ensemble members that allow brief breaks in cloud cover, while 29 °C captures scenarios with more persistent precipitation. Lower probabilities for 31 °C or above stem from the current steering pattern favoring moisture and the historical rarity of exceeding 32 °C this early in the season without a strong subtropical ridge. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus any adjustments to the 24-hour rainfall forecast, will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
10%
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 14%
31°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$655 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$416 Vol.
2%
27°C
$266 Vol.
5%
28°C
$369 Vol.
14%
29°C
$352 Vol.
27%
30°C
$135 Vol.
28%
31°C
$251 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$1,415 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s June 15 high temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because official guidance and numerical models currently converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions.**
Forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional models show a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C under overcast skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Humidity levels near 85–90 % further modulate the realized high by enhancing the greenhouse effect at night while suppressing daytime peaks when rain occurs.
The slight edge for 30 °C reflects ensemble members that allow brief breaks in cloud cover, while 29 °C captures scenarios with more persistent precipitation. Lower probabilities for 31 °C or above stem from the current steering pattern favoring moisture and the historical rarity of exceeding 32 °C this early in the season without a strong subtropical ridge.
Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus any adjustments to the 24-hour rainfall forecast, will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$4,545Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s June 15 high temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because official guidance and numerical models currently converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions.**
Forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional models show a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C under overcast skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Humidity levels near 85–90 % further modulate the realized high by enhancing the greenhouse effect at night while suppressing daytime peaks when rain occurs.
The slight edge for 30 °C reflects ensemble members that allow brief breaks in cloud cover, while 29 °C captures scenarios with more persistent precipitation. Lower probabilities for 31 °C or above stem from the current steering pattern favoring moisture and the historical rarity of exceeding 32 °C this early in the season without a strong subtropical ridge.
Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus any adjustments to the 24-hour rainfall forecast, will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,545Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Guangzhou’s June 15 high temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because official guidance and numerical models currently converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions.** Forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and regional models show a daytime maximum near 28–30 °C under overcast skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, which limits surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Humidity levels near 85–90 % further modulate the realized high by enhancing the greenhouse effect at night while suppressing daytime peaks when rain occurs. The slight edge for 30 °C reflects ensemble members that allow brief breaks in cloud cover, while 29 °C captures scenarios with more persistent precipitation. Lower probabilities for 31 °C or above stem from the current steering pattern favoring moisture and the historical rarity of exceeding 32 °C this early in the season without a strong subtropical ridge. Upcoming CMA and ECMWF model runs, plus any adjustments to the 24-hour rainfall forecast, will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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