The market's decisive positioning on 25°C reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on May 16, which directly matches the resolution criteria for that calendar day. This outcome aligns with observed local conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies that prevented the typical early-summer climb toward 28–30 °C. Historical May averages for the station provide useful context, yet day-to-day variability driven by transient high-pressure ridges can easily suppress peaks by several degrees. With the observation period now closed, no further forecast revisions or model runs will alter the recorded value, leaving only minor measurement uncertainty from station siting as a residual factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 Vol.
$312,572 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$312,572 Vol.
$312,572 Vol.
16 may 2026
19°C or below
$20,243 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,802 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$82,493 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,374 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40,057 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,641 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$27,278 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive positioning on 25°C reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on May 16, which directly matches the resolution criteria for that calendar day. This outcome aligns with observed local conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies that prevented the typical early-summer climb toward 28–30 °C. Historical May averages for the station provide useful context, yet day-to-day variability driven by transient high-pressure ridges can easily suppress peaks by several degrees. With the observation period now closed, no further forecast revisions or model runs will alter the recorded value, leaving only minor measurement uncertainty from station siting as a residual factor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$312,572Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive positioning on 25°C reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on May 16, which directly matches the resolution criteria for that calendar day. This outcome aligns with observed local conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies that prevented the typical early-summer climb toward 28–30 °C. Historical May averages for the station provide useful context, yet day-to-day variability driven by transient high-pressure ridges can easily suppress peaks by several degrees. With the observation period now closed, no further forecast revisions or model runs will alter the recorded value, leaving only minor measurement uncertainty from station siting as a residual factor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$312,572Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The market's decisive positioning on 25°C reflects the official maximum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on May 16, which directly matches the resolution criteria for that calendar day. This outcome aligns with observed local conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies that prevented the typical early-summer climb toward 28–30 °C. Historical May averages for the station provide useful context, yet day-to-day variability driven by transient high-pressure ridges can easily suppress peaks by several degrees. With the observation period now closed, no further forecast revisions or model runs will alter the recorded value, leaving only minor measurement uncertainty from station siting as a residual factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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