Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a four-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such quakes along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This quiet period, set against the long-term annual average of roughly 15–16 events worldwide, shapes trader views on near-term occurrence. Poisson-distributed seismicity means gaps of this length are common, yet any new M7+ detection in high-activity regions like Indonesia or South America would immediately shift odds. Continuous USGS catalog updates and real-time alerts on magnitude thresholds provide the key data releases that could resolve or extend the current streak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
$25,809 Vol.
31 may 2026
15 de mayo
1%
30 de mayo
41%
$25,809 Vol.
15 de mayo
$3,672 Vol.
1%
30 de mayo
$8,889 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a four-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such quakes along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This quiet period, set against the long-term annual average of roughly 15–16 events worldwide, shapes trader views on near-term occurrence. Poisson-distributed seismicity means gaps of this length are common, yet any new M7+ detection in high-activity regions like Indonesia or South America would immediately shift odds. Continuous USGS catalog updates and real-time alerts on magnitude thresholds provide the key data releases that could resolve or extend the current streak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$25,809Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a four-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such quakes along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This quiet period, set against the long-term annual average of roughly 15–16 events worldwide, shapes trader views on near-term occurrence. Poisson-distributed seismicity means gaps of this length are common, yet any new M7+ detection in high-activity regions like Indonesia or South America would immediately shift odds. Continuous USGS catalog updates and real-time alerts on magnitude thresholds provide the key data releases that could resolve or extend the current streak.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$25,809Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Global seismic monitoring by the USGS shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes since the April 20, 2026 event off Japan, creating a four-week lull after an early-year cluster of five such quakes along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones. This quiet period, set against the long-term annual average of roughly 15–16 events worldwide, shapes trader views on near-term occurrence. Poisson-distributed seismicity means gaps of this length are common, yet any new M7+ detection in high-activity regions like Indonesia or South America would immediately shift odds. Continuous USGS catalog updates and real-time alerts on magnitude thresholds provide the key data releases that could resolve or extend the current streak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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