Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Jinan on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, northerly flow, and scattered showers or drizzle that limit daytime heating. Current observations and short-range guidance show surface temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s amid high humidity and reduced insolation, aligning with the market’s near-certain 25°C outcome. This consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs that convective activity and overcast conditions will cap peaks near the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C or above, though such shifts remain low-probability given the entrenched synoptic pattern.