Persistent high pressure over southern England, southerly winds advecting warm continental air, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation have positioned London for a peak temperature near 35°C on August 13, aligning with the Met Office official forecast and amber extreme heat warning. This setup underpins the market's leading 44% implied probability for the 35°C outcome, with 34°C and 36°C each at 27% reflecting tight ensemble model spreads and historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Minor revisions in short-range forecasts or afternoon cloud development could shift the final London City Airport observation between these thresholds, while broader heatwave context shows multiple 30°C+ days already this summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 13 de agosto?
35°C 50%
36°C 28%
34°C 22%
37°C 5%
$123,726 Vol.
$123,726 Vol.
13 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
22%
35°C
50%
36°C
28%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 50%
36°C 28%
34°C 22%
37°C 5%
$123,726 Vol.
$123,726 Vol.
13 ago 2026
30°C or below
$8,767 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,570 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,638 Vol.
1%
33°C
$20,365 Vol.
3%
34°C
$21,141 Vol.
22%
35°C
$17,408 Vol.
50%
36°C
$14,948 Vol.
28%
37°C
$12,377 Vol.
5%
38°C
$10,298 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$3,751 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over southern England, southerly winds advecting warm continental air, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation have positioned London for a peak temperature near 35°C on August 13, aligning with the Met Office official forecast and amber extreme heat warning. This setup underpins the market's leading 44% implied probability for the 35°C outcome, with 34°C and 36°C each at 27% reflecting tight ensemble model spreads and historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Minor revisions in short-range forecasts or afternoon cloud development could shift the final London City Airport observation between these thresholds, while broader heatwave context shows multiple 30°C+ days already this summer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$123,726Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over southern England, southerly winds advecting warm continental air, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation have positioned London for a peak temperature near 35°C on August 13, aligning with the Met Office official forecast and amber extreme heat warning. This setup underpins the market's leading 44% implied probability for the 35°C outcome, with 34°C and 36°C each at 27% reflecting tight ensemble model spreads and historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Minor revisions in short-range forecasts or afternoon cloud development could shift the final London City Airport observation between these thresholds, while broader heatwave context shows multiple 30°C+ days already this summer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$123,726Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over southern England, southerly winds advecting warm continental air, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation have positioned London for a peak temperature near 35°C on August 13, aligning with the Met Office official forecast and amber extreme heat warning. This setup underpins the market's leading 44% implied probability for the 35°C outcome, with 34°C and 36°C each at 27% reflecting tight ensemble model spreads and historical analogs for late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Minor revisions in short-range forecasts or afternoon cloud development could shift the final London City Airport observation between these thresholds, while broader heatwave context shows multiple 30°C+ days already this summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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