Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and southwest monsoon-driven rainfall across Metro Manila on September 2, which typically caps daytime maxima near 29–30°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering around 31–32°C reflects the potential for brief clearing periods allowing brief spikes in surface heating, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes. Key variables include wind speed and convective timing, with stronger gusts favoring lower peaks; updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria based on official PAGASA observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 2 de septiembre?
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
6%
35°C o más
1%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
6%
35°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with a high probability of thunderstorms and southwest monsoon-driven rainfall across Metro Manila on September 2, which typically caps daytime maxima near 29–30°C through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clustering around 31–32°C reflects the potential for brief clearing periods allowing brief spikes in surface heating, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes. Key variables include wind speed and convective timing, with stronger gusts favoring lower peaks; updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria based on official PAGASA observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes