Trader sentiment on Manila’s September 2 minimum temperature reflects genuine uncertainty amid the active southwest monsoon, which is forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity (80–90%) and overnight cloudiness are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily low most likely between 25–28 °C according to current PAGASA guidance and global model consensus. Breaks in the cloud deck or lighter rainfall could allow slightly lower readings near 24–25 °C, while stronger monsoon surges or delayed clearing would favor 29–30 °C. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and intensity explains the closely matched probabilities across the 25–30 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs and official briefings the next key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 2 de septiembre?
24°C 93%
29°C 93%
21°C o menos 92%
30°C 92%
21°C o menos
92%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
93%
25°C
85%
26°C
85%
27°C
49%
28°C
45%
29°C
93%
30°C
92%
31°C o más
92%
24°C 93%
29°C 93%
21°C o menos 92%
30°C 92%
21°C o menos
92%
22°C
6%
23°C
14%
24°C
93%
25°C
85%
26°C
85%
27°C
49%
28°C
45%
29°C
93%
30°C
92%
31°C o más
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Manila’s September 2 minimum temperature reflects genuine uncertainty amid the active southwest monsoon, which is forecast to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity (80–90%) and overnight cloudiness are expected to limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily low most likely between 25–28 °C according to current PAGASA guidance and global model consensus. Breaks in the cloud deck or lighter rainfall could allow slightly lower readings near 24–25 °C, while stronger monsoon surges or delayed clearing would favor 29–30 °C. Ensemble spread in precipitation timing and intensity explains the closely matched probabilities across the 25–30 °C outcomes, with fresh model runs and official briefings the next key catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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