Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 24°C in Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 61% implied probability for 24°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions that enhance daytime heating above the 21.2°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 14:00–16:00 local time before cooling under increasing evening cloud cover. The absence of frontal systems or significant moisture supports trader consensus around these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds between 23°C and 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 6 de septiembre?
24°C 63%
25°C 22%
23°C 13%
22°C 1.3%
$53,851 Vol.
$53,851 Vol.
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
63%
25°C
22%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 63%
25°C 22%
23°C 13%
22°C 1.3%
$53,851 Vol.
$53,851 Vol.
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
63%
25°C
22%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 24°C in Munich on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 61% implied probability for 24°C and secondary support for 25°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions that enhance daytime heating above the 21.2°C climatological average high. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 14:00–16:00 local time before cooling under increasing evening cloud cover. The absence of frontal systems or significant moisture supports trader consensus around these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds between 23°C and 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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