Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 22 near 31–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances. This range aligns with climatological August averages around 30°C but reflects modest above-normal warmth from persistent high pressure and seasonal subsidence. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 62% implied probability stems from ensemble outputs showing peak afternoon heating near that threshold, with limited model spread for values above 34°C given stable steering patterns and humidity levels around 60%. Updates from the next 48-hour model runs will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 22 de agosto?
33°C 63%
32°C 29%
34°C 11%
36°C 8.3%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
29%
33°C
63%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
32°C 29%
34°C 11%
36°C 8.3%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
29%
33°C
63%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv on August 22 near 31–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances. This range aligns with climatological August averages around 30°C but reflects modest above-normal warmth from persistent high pressure and seasonal subsidence. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 62% implied probability stems from ensemble outputs showing peak afternoon heating near that threshold, with limited model spread for values above 34°C given stable steering patterns and humidity levels around 60%. Updates from the next 48-hour model runs will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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