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¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?

icon for ¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?

¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?

NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

5,60%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,55%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,50%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,45%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,42%

$0 Vol.

50%

5.39%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,36%

$0 Vol.

51%

5,33%

$0 Vol.

50%

5,30%

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The recent surge in 30-year Treasury yields to around 5.27% as of September 2 reflects heightened term premium demands amid fiscal concerns, with U.S. debt exceeding $40 trillion and persistent supply pressures from both government auctions and corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure. Elevated oil prices near $92–95 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have reignited inflation worries, while hawkish Federal Reserve commentary has increased odds of a September rate hike to roughly 67%. Yields have risen for five consecutive sessions, marking the longest streak since early August, though a Treasury buyback expansion provided only brief relief before rebounding. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC meeting, ADP and payroll data, and further inflation readings that could shift expectations for monetary policy and long-end pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The recent surge in 30-year Treasury yields to around 5.27% as of September 2 reflects heightened term premium demands amid fiscal concerns, with U.S. debt exceeding $40 trillion and persistent supply pressures from both government auctions and corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure. Elevated oil prices near $92–95 per barrel, driven by Middle East tensions, have reignited inflation worries, while hawkish Federal Reserve commentary has increased odds of a September rate hike to roughly 67%. Yields have risen for five consecutive sessions, marking the longest streak since early August, though a Treasury buyback expansion provided only brief relief before rebounding. Key near-term catalysts include the upcoming FOMC meeting, ADP and payroll data, and further inflation readings that could shift expectations for monetary policy and long-end pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "5,36%" con 51%, seguido de "5,60%" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?" es "5,36%" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5,60%" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué tan alto será el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 30 años en septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.