Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and Governor Michael Barr’s comments favoring a potential September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.79% after touching 4.82%—its highest level since late 2023. Elevated oil prices near $90–95 amid U.S.-Iran tensions have reinforced inflation concerns and boosted the term premium, while heavy Treasury issuance and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure add supply pressure. Softer ADP private payrolls data provided modest relief, but markets continue to weigh the September FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases against fiscal deficit worries exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 sep 2026
Por debajo de 4.76%
50%
Por debajo de 4.73%
50%
Por debajo del 4,70%
50%
Por debajo de 4.67%
50%
Por debajo de 4,64%
50%
Por debajo de 4.61%
50%
Por debajo de 4,56%
50%
Por debajo de 4,51%
50%
Por debajo de 4,45%
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Por debajo de 4.76%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4.73%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo del 4,70%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4.67%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4,64%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4.61%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4,56%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4,51%
$0 Vol.
50%
Por debajo de 4,45%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and Governor Michael Barr’s comments favoring a potential September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.79% after touching 4.82%—its highest level since late 2023. Elevated oil prices near $90–95 amid U.S.-Iran tensions have reinforced inflation concerns and boosted the term premium, while heavy Treasury issuance and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure add supply pressure. Softer ADP private payrolls data provided modest relief, but markets continue to weigh the September FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases against fiscal deficit worries exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and Governor Michael Barr’s comments favoring a potential September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.79% after touching 4.82%—its highest level since late 2023. Elevated oil prices near $90–95 amid U.S.-Iran tensions have reinforced inflation concerns and boosted the term premium, while heavy Treasury issuance and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure add supply pressure. Softer ADP private payrolls data provided modest relief, but markets continue to weigh the September FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases against fiscal deficit worries exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks and Governor Michael Barr’s comments favoring a potential September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.79% after touching 4.82%—its highest level since late 2023. Elevated oil prices near $90–95 amid U.S.-Iran tensions have reinforced inflation concerns and boosted the term premium, while heavy Treasury issuance and competing corporate borrowing for AI infrastructure add supply pressure. Softer ADP private payrolls data provided modest relief, but markets continue to weigh the September FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases against fiscal deficit worries exceeding $40 trillion in federal debt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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