Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de septiembre?
¿Cuántos disidentes en la reunión de la Fed de septiembre?
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
0
12%
1
16%
2
18%
3
29%
4+
20%
3 29%
4+ 20%
2 18%
1 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
0
$1,235 Vol.
12%
1
$252 Vol.
16%
2
$253 Vol.
18%
3
$2,025 Vol.
29%
4+
$262 Vol.
20%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$4,027Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,027Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Chair Kevin Warsh and the July FOMC's 9-3 decision—with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of an immediate 25-basis-point hike—have sustained divisions over the appropriate policy stance amid July PCE inflation holding at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures at 3.3%. Traders price these factors into closely matched implied probabilities for dissent counts at the September 15-16 meeting, where outcomes hinge on whether additional governors align with the existing hawks or incoming data and communications reinforce the majority's patience. Cooling labor market readings and energy price risks add uncertainty, leaving the path to two, three, or more dissents dependent on near-term Fedspeak and releases before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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