Ongoing diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding, form the main driver behind expectations for resumed IAEA access to the damaged enrichment sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has stated that inspections of nuclear material and facilities are required under the interim framework and will occur, with discussions on timing underway. Iranian officials have countered that any visits depend on completion of a final agreement, consistent with prior restrictions on safeguards cooperation following the 2025 strikes. IAEA reports from February and June 2026 note denied requests for verification at Isfahan’s tunnel complex and continued lack of access to affected facilities, while satellite imagery shows limited post-strike activity. Upcoming bilateral talks or IAEA Board sessions could clarify timelines and influence trader assessments of near-term visits.