Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$211,687 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
89%
$211,687 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
89%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, prompting Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor in a 54-45 vote. Powell publicly stated he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period tied to an ongoing Justice Department review of headquarters renovations, extending his influence until at least January 2028. This transition reflects standard term limits for the chair position alongside the administration’s push for new leadership amid debates over monetary policy independence. Traders assess resolution timing based on the exact date Powell ceases chair duties, with confirmation hearings, Senate floor votes, and any interim acting arrangements serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around scheduled milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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