Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 26 de agosto?
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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