Recent clearing skies and northerly flow following late-August rainfall have positioned Beijing under high pressure with light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum near 18–20 °C under mostly clear conditions, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover supporting the lower end of the range. Trader consensus clusters around 16–18 °C because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or residual moisture from prior showers could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 20 °C, but the recent cool-down and dry air mass increase the odds of readings dipping to 17 °C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 30 de agosto?
19°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
17°C 33%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
26%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
49%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
16%
19°C 49%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
17°C 33%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
26%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
49%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing skies and northerly flow following late-August rainfall have positioned Beijing under high pressure with light northwest winds, favoring radiative cooling overnight into August 30. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum near 18–20 °C under mostly clear conditions, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover supporting the lower end of the range. Trader consensus clusters around 16–18 °C because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or residual moisture from prior showers could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 20 °C, but the recent cool-down and dry air mass increase the odds of readings dipping to 17 °C or below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes