Recent forecast runs from global models including ECMWF and GFS project overnight lows of 5–7°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under northeasterly flow and stable high pressure, keeping radiative cooling modest with dew points near 2–4°C and light winds. This setup supports the tight market split between 8°C-or-higher and sub-zero outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but recent cooler anomalies have traders weighing model consensus against potential local microclimate effects ahead of final data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 24 de agosto?
8°C o más 46%
-2°C o menos 45%
4°C 44%
6°C 44%
-2°C o menos
45%
-1°C
24%
0°C
26%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
26%
6°C
44%
7°C
26%
8°C o más
46%
8°C o más 46%
-2°C o menos 45%
4°C 44%
6°C 44%
-2°C o menos
45%
-1°C
24%
0°C
26%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
26%
6°C
44%
7°C
26%
8°C o más
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from global models including ECMWF and GFS project overnight lows of 5–7°C in Buenos Aires on August 24 under northeasterly flow and stable high pressure, keeping radiative cooling modest with dew points near 2–4°C and light winds. This setup supports the tight market split between 8°C-or-higher and sub-zero outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August minima average near 8°C, but recent cooler anomalies have traders weighing model consensus against potential local microclimate effects ahead of final data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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