Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate nighttime lows in Chengdu around 24–26°C for August 27, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation that modulates radiative cooling under the region's humid subtropical climate. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon limits temperature drops after sunset, while scattered showers or overcast conditions—common in late August—can trap heat and narrow the typical 8–10°C diurnal range. Basin topography further traps moisture, sustaining warmer minimums compared to drier inland sites. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify whether clearer skies allow cooler readings near 23–24°C or persistent cloudiness supports higher outcomes above 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 27 de agosto?
30°C or higher 50%
23°C 47%
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
20°C or below
44%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
47%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
50%
30°C or higher 50%
23°C 47%
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
20°C or below
44%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
47%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate nighttime lows in Chengdu around 24–26°C for August 27, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation that modulates radiative cooling under the region's humid subtropical climate. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon limits temperature drops after sunset, while scattered showers or overcast conditions—common in late August—can trap heat and narrow the typical 8–10°C diurnal range. Basin topography further traps moisture, sustaining warmer minimums compared to drier inland sites. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify whether clearer skies allow cooler readings near 23–24°C or persistent cloudiness supports higher outcomes above 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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