Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and 60–70% thunderstorm coverage that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 26–29°C amid highs of 35–38°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative event expected before resolution. This consensus places the outcome near the 27°C and 26°C bins while explaining elevated trader probabilities on both 29°C+ and sub-20°C extremes, reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and regional stations will provide the decisive observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 24 de agosto?
19°C or below 95%
29°C or higher 92%
24°C 85%
28°C 85%
19°C or below
95%
20°C
7%
21°C
42%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
85%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
85%
29°C or higher
92%
19°C or below 95%
29°C or higher 92%
24°C 85%
28°C 85%
19°C or below
95%
20°C
7%
21°C
42%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
85%
25°C
43%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
85%
29°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Chongqing on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and 60–70% thunderstorm coverage that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured overnight lows of 26–29°C amid highs of 35–38°C, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative event expected before resolution. This consensus places the outcome near the 27°C and 26°C bins while explaining elevated trader probabilities on both 29°C+ and sub-20°C extremes, reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Center and regional stations will provide the decisive observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes