Ongoing rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are suppressing radiative cooling and limiting the diurnal temperature range in Chongqing, anchoring the September 17 minimum near 19–20 °C according to the latest model consensus. Persistent easterly flow and moderate humidity further stabilize overnight readings, while historical September climatology shows typical minima around 22 °C that are currently depressed by the active precipitation pattern. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some guidance allowing for slightly cooler pockets if heavier rain develops overnight, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 19 °C and the notable probability assigned to 15 °C or below. Updated local meteorological bureau guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 17 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 43%
16°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
15°C o menos
43%
16°C
40%
17°C
7%
18°C
11%
19°C
31%
20°C
22%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
15°C o menos 43%
16°C 40%
20°C 22%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$5 Vol.
7%
18°C
$1 Vol.
11%
19°C
$85 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are suppressing radiative cooling and limiting the diurnal temperature range in Chongqing, anchoring the September 17 minimum near 19–20 °C according to the latest model consensus. Persistent easterly flow and moderate humidity further stabilize overnight readings, while historical September climatology shows typical minima around 22 °C that are currently depressed by the active precipitation pattern. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some guidance allowing for slightly cooler pockets if heavier rain develops overnight, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 19 °C and the notable probability assigned to 15 °C or below. Updated local meteorological bureau guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$738Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are suppressing radiative cooling and limiting the diurnal temperature range in Chongqing, anchoring the September 17 minimum near 19–20 °C according to the latest model consensus. Persistent easterly flow and moderate humidity further stabilize overnight readings, while historical September climatology shows typical minima around 22 °C that are currently depressed by the active precipitation pattern. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some guidance allowing for slightly cooler pockets if heavier rain develops overnight, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 19 °C and the notable probability assigned to 15 °C or below. Updated local meteorological bureau guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$738Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a regional weather system are suppressing radiative cooling and limiting the diurnal temperature range in Chongqing, anchoring the September 17 minimum near 19–20 °C according to the latest model consensus. Persistent easterly flow and moderate humidity further stabilize overnight readings, while historical September climatology shows typical minima around 22 °C that are currently depressed by the active precipitation pattern. Model spread introduces uncertainty, with some guidance allowing for slightly cooler pockets if heavier rain develops overnight, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 19 °C and the notable probability assigned to 15 °C or below. Updated local meteorological bureau guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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