Recent official and model consensus forecasts from agencies and meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and adjacent bins, reflecting typical early-September climatology with limited nocturnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could push lows lower or allow higher readings. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow band, limiting volatility in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 2 de septiembre?
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
19°C 78%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C
78%
20°C
100%
21°C
78%
22°C
62%
23°C
100%
24°C
78%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
8%
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
19°C 78%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
17°C
$57 Vol.
13%
18°C
$69 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
78%
20°C
$0 Vol.
100%
21°C
$0 Vol.
78%
22°C
$0 Vol.
62%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$4 Vol.
78%
25°C
$5 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts from agencies and meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and adjacent bins, reflecting typical early-September climatology with limited nocturnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could push lows lower or allow higher readings. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow band, limiting volatility in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$145Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts from agencies and meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and adjacent bins, reflecting typical early-September climatology with limited nocturnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could push lows lower or allow higher readings. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow band, limiting volatility in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$145Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model consensus forecasts from agencies and meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle near 20–22°C under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly flow, and stable high pressure. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and adjacent bins, reflecting typical early-September climatology with limited nocturnal cooling due to urban heat retention and light winds. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this range, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could push lows lower or allow higher readings. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow band, limiting volatility in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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