Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de septiembre?
26°C 50%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
50%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
22°C or below
$191 Vol.
1%
23°C
$192 Vol.
1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
2%
25°C
$220 Vol.
4%
26°C
$315 Vol.
50%
27°C
$559 Vol.
41%
28°C
$182 Vol.
6%
29°C
$81 Vol.
2%
30°C
$567 Vol.
1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,649Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,649Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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